Friday, September 2, 2016

Historic Last-Minute Clemency

While it is true that most presidential terms have resulted in the highest number of clemency grants in the fourth and final year, Bill Clinton's last-minute caper was more unusual than anything, for a variety of reasons, mathematically and procedurally. Of course, there is always the matter of how last-minute is really "last-minute?" We operationalized "last-minute" clemency blitzes in our own, original, comprehensive data set by comparing the average number of grants of clemency in the first three years of terms to the percentage increase in the number of grants made in the fourth and final year of the term. Here are the results:

It would seem that President Obama will pass President Clinton's mark and, quite possibly, John Adams' as well.

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